Current state of the league

After round 40, Racing Santander leads the LaLiga Hypermotion promotion race with a 94.4% chance of finishing top and an expected 80.9 points. Deportivo is the closest challenger at 5.6%, with the promotion playoff places still open across the chasing pack. At the other end of the table Zaragoza carries the highest relegation risk at 97.3%, followed by Cultural Leonesa (95.8%). Every probability below is recomputed from scratch each week, combining ELO ratings updated from real match results with hundreds of thousands of remaining-season simulations.