Current state of the league

After round 42, Racing Santander leads the LaLiga Hypermotion promotion race with a 100.0% chance of finishing top and an expected 82.0 points. Deportivo is the closest challenger at 0.0%, with the promotion playoff places still open across the chasing pack. At the other end of the table Mirandés carries the highest relegation risk at 100.0%, followed by Huesca (100.0%). Every probability below is recomputed from scratch each week, combining ELO ratings updated from real match results with hundreds of thousands of remaining-season simulations.