LaLiga Hypermotion round 41 snapshot
Monte Carlo probabilities for every LaLiga Hypermotion club after round 41.
Last updated 2026-05-26
Round 41 summary
After round 41, Racing Santander leads the LaLiga Hypermotion promotion race with a 92.6% chance of finishing top and an expected 81.1 points. Deportivo is the closest challenger at 7.4%, with the promotion playoff places still open across the chasing pack. At the other end of the table Huesca carries the highest relegation risk at 100.0%, followed by Cultural Leonesa (100.0%). Every probability below is recomputed from scratch each week, combining ELO ratings updated from real match results with hundreds of thousands of remaining-season simulations.
| # | Team | xPts | xPos | Most likely | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 81.1 | 1.1 | #1 (92.6%) | 1644 |
| 2 | Deportivo | 78.6 | 1.9 | #2 (92.6%) | 1647 |
| 3 | Almeria | 72.9 | 3.8 | #3 (58.6%) | 1554 |
| 4 | Malaga | 71.6 | 4.6 | #4 (32.6%) | 1656 |
| 5 | Castellon | 71.1 | 5.2 | #4 (27.3%) | 1613 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 71.1 | 5.5 | #6 (31.4%) | 1574 |
| 7 | Burgos | 70.7 | 6.1 | #7 (49.4%) | 1587 |
| 8 | Eibar | 67.7 | 7.7 | #8 (83.8%) | 1624 |
| 9 | Córdoba CF | 62.0 | 9.5 | #9 (65.8%) | 1491 |
| 10 | Albacete | 60.6 | 10.6 | #10 (37.6%) | 1586 |
| 11 | FC Andorra | 59.1 | 11.4 | #11 (32.5%) | 1580 |
| 12 | Sporting Gijon | 59.3 | 11.5 | #12 (33.3%) | 1503 |
| 13 | Ceuta | 59.2 | 12.0 | #13 (51.3%) | 1470 |
| 14 | Granada | 49.5 | 14.2 | #14 (79.5%) | 1411 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 47.5 | 15.2 | #15 (55.3%) | 1413 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 46.9 | 16.0 | #16 (50.4%) | 1431 |
| 17 | Leganes | 44.6 | 16.7 | #17 (54.1%) | 1410 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 43.7 | 18.0 | #18 (72.5%) | 1349 |
| 19 | Mirandés | 41.2 | 19.0 | #19 (78.8%) | 1422 |
| 20 | Huesca | 37.8 | 20.6 | #21 (40.8%) | 1368 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 37.2 | 20.9 | #21 (36.0%) | 1333 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 37.2 | 21.4 | #22 (58.3%) | 1336 |