LaLiga Hypermotion round 33 snapshot
Monte Carlo probabilities for every LaLiga Hypermotion club after round 33.
Last updated 2026-06-16
Round 33 summary
After round 33, Racing Santander leads the LaLiga Hypermotion promotion race with a 48.5% chance of finishing top and an expected 82.0 points. Deportivo is the closest challenger at 28.0%, with the promotion playoff places still open across the chasing pack. At the other end of the table Mirandés carries the highest relegation risk at 97.6%, followed by Cultural Leonesa (95.0%). Every probability below is recomputed from scratch each week, combining ELO ratings updated from real match results with hundreds of thousands of remaining-season simulations.
| # | Team | xPts | xPos | Most likely | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 82.0 | 1.0 | #1 (100.0%) | 1654 |
| 2 | Almeria | 75.6 | 3.2 | #3 (56.6%) | 1591 |
| 3 | Malaga | 74.1 | 3.7 | #4 (69.2%) | 1670 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 73.0 | 5.0 | #5 (99.8%) | 1580 |
| 5 | Castellon | 72.0 | 6.0 | #6 (100.0%) | 1615 |
| 6 | Burgos | 72.0 | 7.0 | #7 (100.0%) | 1611 |
| 7 | Eibar | 67.0 | 8.0 | #8 (100.0%) | 1598 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 61.0 | 9.0 | #9 (100.0%) | 1512 |
| 9 | Córdoba CF | 61.0 | 10.0 | #10 (100.0%) | 1490 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 61.0 | 11.0 | #11 (100.0%) | 1495 |
| 11 | Albacete | 59.0 | 12.0 | #12 (100.0%) | 1562 |
| 12 | FC Andorra | 58.0 | 13.0 | #13 (100.0%) | 1555 |
| 13 | Granada | 48.0 | 14.0 | #14 (100.0%) | 1403 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B | 47.0 | 15.0 | #15 (100.0%) | 1414 |
| 15 | Leganes | 46.0 | 16.0 | #16 (100.0%) | 1435 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 46.0 | 17.0 | #17 (100.0%) | 1416 |
| 17 | Cadiz | 43.0 | 18.0 | #18 (100.0%) | 1338 |
| 18 | Mirandés | 40.0 | 19.0 | #19 (100.0%) | 1397 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38.0 | 20.0 | #20 (100.0%) | 1369 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 37.0 | 21.0 | #21 (100.0%) | 1335 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 36.0 | 22.0 | #22 (100.0%) | 1330 |
| 22 | Deportivo | — | — | — | — |