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Real Sociedad

LaLiga title, Europe and relegation probabilities β€” round 37.

Last updated 2026-05-19

Expected points
46.3
Expected position
10.2
Most likely finish
#9
21.5%
ELO rating
1479

Summary

Real Sociedad sits in LaLiga's mid-table, with 0.0% odds of European qualification and a 0.0% relegation risk. The model projects Real Sociedad to finish on 46.3 points and in position 10.2 on average, with the most likely final placement being #9 (21.5% of runs). Their current ELO rating is 1479, which is updated from real match results after every matchday before the next simulation batch runs. All probabilities below are refreshed weekly from the latest LaLiga match data; click through to the interactive dashboard to compare Real Sociedad against every other club in the division.

Season outlook

Title / Champions League
0.0%
Europa League
4.9%
Conference League
17.4%
Relegation
0.0%

Most likely finishing positions

  • #9
    21.5%
  • #8
    17.4%
  • #12
    16.7%
  • #10
    14.4%
  • #11
    11.5%

Upcoming matches β€” Real Sociedad

Probabilities computed by running the remaining LaLiga schedule through our ELO-based Monte Carlo model. xG (expected goals) is estimated from each team's attack and defence ratings relative to their opponent.

How we compute these

Every week we rebuild ELO ratings for each club from historical match data, then run hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining LaLiga fixtures.Real Sociedad's row above shows the distribution of final league positions across those simulations, aggregated into the competitive outcomes that matter.