Chelsea is the slight favourite on the road against Sunderland in Premier League, winning 54.5% of simulations to Sunderland's 23.6% (21.9% draw). Expected goals land at 1.34 for Sunderland and 2.21 for Chelsea, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Sunderland is projected to finish on 51.9 points (ELO 1449) while Chelsea is on 52.6 points (ELO 1459). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest Premier League results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.