Our model makes Liverpool the favourite at home against Brentford in Premier League, winning the match in 53.3% of simulations compared to 24.4% for an away win and 22.3% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.98 for Liverpool and 1.31 for Brentford, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Liverpool is projected to finish on 60.8 points (ELO 1550) while Brentford is on 53.0 points (ELO 1525). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest Premier League results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.