Our model makes Mirandés the favourite at home against Granada in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 41.1% of simulations compared to 33.9% for an away win and 25.0% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.30 for Mirandés and 1.45 for Granada, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Mirandés is projected to finish on 39.7 points (ELO 1385) while Granada is on 50.7 points (ELO 1448). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Mirandés vs Granada
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Mirandés
41.1%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
Granada
33.9%
xG · Mirandés
1.30
xG · Granada
1.45
Home
Mirandés
- Expected points
- 39.7
- Most likely finish
- #19
- ELO
- 1385
Full season outlook →
Away
Granada
- Expected points
- 50.7
- Most likely finish
- #14
- ELO
- 1448
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.