Our model makes Leganes the favourite at home against Mirandés in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 46.7% of simulations compared to 31.9% for an away win and 21.4% for a draw. Expected goals land at 2.02 for Leganes and 1.65 for Mirandés, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Leganes is projected to finish on 46.1 points (ELO 1452) while Mirandés is on 39.7 points (ELO 1385). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Leganes vs Mirandés
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Leganes
46.7%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
Mirandés
31.9%
xG · Leganes
2.02
xG · Mirandés
1.65
Home
Leganes
- Expected points
- 46.1
- Most likely finish
- #17
- ELO
- 1452
Full season outlook →
Away
Mirandés
- Expected points
- 39.7
- Most likely finish
- #19
- ELO
- 1385
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.