Our model makes Granada the favourite at home against Sporting Gijon in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 38.7% of simulations compared to 36.1% for an away win and 25.2% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.44 for Granada and 1.38 for Sporting Gijon, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Granada is projected to finish on 50.7 points (ELO 1448) while Sporting Gijon is on 58.0 points (ELO 1467). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Granada vs Sporting Gijon
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Granada
38.7%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
Sporting Gijon
36.1%
xG · Granada
1.44
xG · Sporting Gijon
1.38
Home
Granada
- Expected points
- 50.7
- Most likely finish
- #14
- ELO
- 1448
Full season outlook →
Away
Sporting Gijon
- Expected points
- 58.0
- Most likely finish
- #12
- ELO
- 1467
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.