Our model makes Deportivo the favourite at home against Las Palmas in LaLiga Hypermotion, winning the match in 47.7% of simulations compared to 26.4% for an away win and 26.0% for a draw. Expected goals land at 1.49 for Deportivo and 1.04 for Las Palmas, consistent with the win-probability split above. Season-wide, Deportivo is projected to finish on 77.2 points (ELO 1640) while Las Palmas is on 71.9 points (ELO 1579). Every number here is recomputed from scratch each week once the latest LaLiga Hypermotion results are in, so the odds you see today reflect the current form of both teams — not a pre-season prediction.
LaLiga Hypermotion · match prediction
Deportivo vs Las Palmas
Last updated: 2026-05-19
Home win
Deportivo
47.7%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
Las Palmas
26.4%
xG · Deportivo
1.49
xG · Las Palmas
1.04
Home
Deportivo
- Expected points
- 77.2
- Most likely finish
- #2
- ELO
- 1640
Full season outlook →
Away
Las Palmas
- Expected points
- 71.9
- Most likely finish
- #5
- ELO
- 1579
Full season outlook →
About this prediction
Football Probs runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every week for LaLiga Hypermotion. The match odds above come directly from those runs — no betting-market scraping, no hand-tuning. If you spot anything that looks wrong, the current round snapshot and the underlying ELO ratings are visible on each team's page.